Don’t Stop with the Houthis

The real arena is the Persian Gulf, not the Red Sea.  

The Ansar Allah militia, known more broadly as the Houthis, have drawn the world’s attention over the last three months. Following the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel and the consequent war in Gaza, the Houthis have launched missiles and hijacked ships in the Red Sea, which they claim have ties to Israel. The result is a global shipping crisis in the making, with major shipping companies like Maersk having pulled out of the region, doubling shipping times and costs.  

The Houthis have long been backed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, which presumably gave them the go-ahead to attacks ships in the Red Sea. Iran, in turn, receives some diplomatic support from its major economic partners, such as Russia, China, and even India. However, a breakdown of global shipping and higher costs are against the interests of these countries, which are more vulnerable to the economic shocks of this crisis than are the Unites States or Europe.  

And yet, Western thinktanks and diplomats are wary of provoking Iran, for fear that this would draw the ire of its backers and trigger a third world war. Some warn that a more decisive action against the Houthis and Iran could lead to a larger regional war, and even to a third world war. However, none of Iran’s partners are true allies, and they have as much to lose from the destabilisation of the Red Sea as anyone else. 

The United States and its allies have been timid when it comes to the Middle East. This trend began under the Obama administration, but it’s accelerated since. It culminated in the poorly planned withdrawal from Afghanistan, where the US had achieved a relative measure of stability and military success, with no casualties leading up to President Biden’s decision. The US government has a unique opportunity to restore its credibility on the world stage, by demonstrating that it is not afraid of war. 

Especially now, during an election year, American politicians are reluctant to spark a major war in the region, hoping to avoid “escalation”. The US and UK have (finally) launched limited military strikes against the Houthis in Yemen, hoping to restore security to one of the world’s most crucial shipping lanes, but both parties seem keen to avoid further entanglement with Iran. The same attitude is evident to the north, in Lebanon, where the West is hoping that Hezbollah will somehow step back and return to the status quo ante

However, this Chamberlainism is dangerous, and itself risks goading the belligerents into an escalation. Politicians assume that the Iranian regime is uninterested in an all-out war and is simply playing a game of brinksmanship. But this attitude relies on hope more than any real knowledge of Iran, the Houthis, or their ideologies. Ignoring or appeasing this behaviour at such a time only serves to encourage it until some tipping point is reached. 

The main critique of Chamberlain’s policy towards Hitler and the Nazis is not that he wanted to maintain peace, even with questionable actors. His major fault was that he assumed such a peace was possible, and in pursuing it, he weakened the United Kingdom’s standing in the lead up to an inevitable war. Indeed, he may have made the war inevitable. Had he taken a firmer stand earlier and forbade Germany from rearming or retaking the Rhineland, or any other number of small incremental steps leading up to WWII, he might’ve been able to avoid the catastrophic war that destroyed Europe and killed millions. Sometimes, acting quickly and decisively is the best way to prevent a costlier war. 

What should the US do? 

I believe it is in the interest of the United States and its allies to take a firm stance against Iran. One of the main reasons Iran has so far remained safe from Western intervention or real punitive measures, is that it holds Hezbollah in Lebanon as a gun to Israel’s throat. Israel has refrained from attacking Iran, partly due to American pressure, partly to avoid a devastating war with Hezbollah. However, from the Israeli perspective, now is the right time to fight a war with Hezbollah, if such a war is indeed inevitable. Iran’s deterrence in the form of Hezbollah is no longer a viable excuse to withhold force. 

No one has an appetite for military adventurism right now. American voters do not want to send soldiers to occupy yet another distant land and try to ensure stability in a society mired by militant groups that hate them. However, the US has no need to engage in nation building projects as it did in Iraq and Afghanistan. All it needs to do is send a message and act to prove its credibility. There need not be a single American boot on the ground in Iran. Nor should there be any attempt to establish a new political system within Iran – that’s for the Iranian people to decide, and it’s likely they will soon throw off the yoke of the Islamic Republic of their own accord. 

At this juncture, the US should threaten to destroy the Kharg Island oil terminal. This facility processes some 90% of Iran’s oil and is located a short distance from several American military bases on the Persian Gulf. The US air force could knock out Iran’s biggest cash cow in an hour, crippling its already flailing economy and strangling the regime, making it harder for the IRGC to funnel funds to its proxies around the Middle East. This would address the root cause of much of the current instability in the region and tell the world that there are real consequences to threatening global trade and stability. 

This idea has been recently promoted by a Yale Insights paper. While it is difficult to ascertain the exact figures when it comes to the Iranian economy, oil sales are estimated to make up approximately 70% of government revenue (and as much as 85% by some estimates). Kharg has been attacked before, during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s. It took decades for Iran to rebuild the port’s capacity. 

The aim is not to destroy the Islamic Republic’s regime, but to weaken it. There may be blowback against the US and Israel, but this will be the short-term cost of avoiding a more painful conflict next year. The time to act is now. 

One-State, Two-State, No-More-Jew-State

The type of solution to any conflict is far less important than the conditions required to sustain it. 

Inevitably, whenever “the Middle East conflict” flares up, we hear diplomats and journalists declaring their continued support for the “two-state solution”. This has become an international Orthodoxy that most observers take for granted. 

Discussions of the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians inevitably revolve around detached, theoretical conceptions of a “solution” to the conflict. The attitude of Western technocrats, UN representatives and various intellectuals relates to the conflict almost as if it were an engineering problem – if only we could implement certain steps, we could fix the problem. The reality may be more comparable to a chronic disease, perhaps a genetically inherited one, for which a cure has not or cannot be found, and which must be treated on an ongoing basis. 

At the end of the day, if the majority of the population is happy with the reality on the ground and can live with it, it doesn’t really matter what arrangement they come to. Whether the “solution” is based on one or two states is ultimately a distraction from the core issues of the conflict, which revolve around questions of justice, security, self-determination and, above all, national identity. 

If it is indeed possible for the two peoples to live in peace in the region, the specific political formula of coexistence will be more of a technical detail than a solution in and of itself. Ultimately, the Jewish Israeli population must be willing to relinquish security control of strategically and culturally important territory, and to trust their Palestinian neighbours in some capacity to help influence their fate in the land. On the other hand, the Palestinian Arab population would have to accept the legitimacy of a Jewish national presence on the land and at the very least recognise Jewish peoplehood and indigeneity.  

From my perspective, a prerequisite of any solution would be the ability of a Jewish minority to live in Palestinian state. At this point in time, it is doubtful whether a Palestinian regime would tolerate a Jewish presence within its territory, let alone grant citizenship to those Jews under its jurisdiction. It is even more doubtful that Jews would feel safe enough to remain in areas granted to a Palestinian state – surely, they would fear an imminent massacre if not legal persecution and intimidation.  

From a purely moral, rational stance, the ability of Jews to constitute a minority in a Palestinian Arab state should at the least reflect the ability of Arabs to form a minority in a Jewish state – there is no serious discussion either of Israel expelling its Arab population or of a mass Arab Israeli exodus for fear of persecution – whatever the complaints of individuals regarding the problems of integrating Arabs into Israeli society. 

In the context of a true peace between two nation states, there should be no problem with allowing trade and tourism between the states, or even having some sort of Schengen arrangement granting freedom of movement to the citizens of both states. If this cannot be achieved in the form of two independent nation states, based on mutual recognition of the collective rights of the other within defined territorial entities, it certainly will not be possible in a forced binational state – even if that state is based on principals of liberal democracy and equality.  

The One-State Utopia 

A binational state would, at the very least, require the abandonment of national narratives and self-determination for both peoples. It would be unstable politically, unless religion and culture were somehow magically eradicated overnight. There would be issues regarding the desired content in educational curricula, the practice of national holidays and equal access to services in both languages.  

These issues are problematic enough as it is within the context of a culturally unified state, but the shared political and cultural language, along with a sense of shared destiny, help to bridge the divides in opinions and strategy that afflict functional democratic societies. Even in a relatively prosperous and peaceful nation such as Belgium, the split national identity between Flemings and Walloons has brought little more than instability and dysfunction. If both sides were forced to relinquish nationalism, each side would have its proverbial half of Solomon’s baby, unable to function as whole. 

In essence, a one-state solution (that doesn’t constitute one side decisively ruling over the other) is a no-state solution. It is a utopia that would amount to a vacuum of power, with no government able to legitimately govern more than half the population. The likely result would be the quick Lebanonisation of Israel-Palestine and the emergence of both Jewish and Arab militias, which are likely to represent the most extreme and violent streams of each society.  

The state would not only collapse, but it would likely be replaced by a “civil war” or national struggle no different from the war of 1948, but likely with deadlier consequences. Those who can (on both sides) will flee, leaving the poorer, less educated and less economically and culturally productive elements of society to fester in a chequerboard of ethnic hatred and humanitarian crisis.  

The most positive outcome in such a scenario would be the re-establishment of separate entities for Israelis and Palestinians, only with further territorial adjustments and ethnic cleansing. At the other end of the spectrum, the result could be the decisive victory of one side over the other – total ethnic cleansing either of Jews or of Arabs from the entire territory. Any question of continued coexistence as a binational state recognising the rights of both peoples would be off the table – permanently.  

Palestinian Demands – The Bottom Line 

The sad reality of this land, which is claimed in its entirety by both sides, is that there cannot be an end to the conflict over the rights to the territory and the character of the state. If the Jews of Israel were to relinquish all claims east of the Green Line, uproot every last settler and military installation, and hand the keys over to the Palestinian Authority, depending on a hostile population to secure the border and manage issues of strategic depth, it would not be enough for the Palestinians.  

The Palestinian moderate camp cannot accept anything less than at least a symbolic recognition by Israel of the Palestinian’s “Right of Return” to lands occupied (but not necessarily owned) by Arabs before 1948. It would mean a moral victory for Palestinians, with Israel acknowledging itself as the primary aggressor and a foreign invader. The reason the Palestinians cannot give up this demand is because this is essentially the only thing that makes one “Palestinian” – before the creation of Israel, the Arab population of Palestine was a fact, but its identification as a distinct Palestinian nation was not. The desire to “return” to the land is what differentiates a Palestinian from a Lebanese or a Syrian, and it is at the crux of what has legitimised the Palestinian struggle against Israel. 

Therefore, negation of Zionism, of the narrative that Jews are an indigenous people to the land, that they still constitute a “people” and that they have a right to sovereignty at the expense of Arab dominion over formerly Arab-populated territory – these are the essential components of what makes one “Palestinian” rather than merely an Arab from Palestine. The very identity of the Palestinian was created as a response to the creation of the new Jew of modern Israel, and this response was a necessity to maintain the pride and moral standing of the area’s Arab society, and to boost the Arab claim to the territory that became Israel.  

From the Palestinian perspective, across the political spectrum, the right of the Palestinian people to the territory of what is now Israel is inalienable. No Palestinian leader has the legitimacy to renounce the “Right of Return”, and as long as there exists an Arab Palestinian presence in the land, as well as a hope, however faint, that Israel may someday be defeated and the land restored to Arab-Muslim rule, the ideological pressures will demand “resistance” to the “Zionist entity” and a continuation of the refugee narrative.  

The Palestinians’ determination is great, as is their ability to absorb heavy blows and demonstrate resilience in the face of suffering. From their point of view, the Jews might give up before they do, or else will be overcome by the sheer numbers of the Arab and Muslim world. Their conviction that they are the righteous victims and the Israelis the illegitimate oppressors is far more solid than the relatively introspective and internally-critical perspective of Israeli Jews – there are several Israeli Jewish publications that serve as more effective tools of Palestinian propaganda than any pro-Israel news source in the world or even in Israel. True, the majority of Jewish Israeli society rejects the “Nakba” narrative and denies that Palestinians were forcibly expelled or have a right to Israeli territory, but there is a widespread understanding that Palestinians have suffered and that they were the “losers” in the war of 1948. Israeli media constantly discusses how Israel should try to improve life for Arabs both within Israel Proper and beyond. 

The Limits of Jewish Concessions 

The Jewish national identity and need for security preclude the possibility of Israel’s Jews relinquishing their claim to a sovereign state in the ancient Jewish homeland, and the demand for maintaining at the very least a security presence in the highlands and in the Jordan Valley. If the Palestinians cannot give up the “Right of Return”, the Jews cannot give up the “Law of Return” and the special status of Israel as a refuge for Jews, especially given the clearly observable fact that global antisemitism is by no means disappearing. 

From a religious perspective, Jews would understand that any territory they give up could quickly become inaccessible to them, and the holy sites in Jerusalem and the West Bank constitute a red line for many Jews. Not only could these sites be off-limits to pilgrimages, but they could also become bases from which Palestinian militias attack Jews within the Green Line.  

Even if Jews acknowledge the existence of the Palestinians as a distinct national entity, and as indigenous inhabitants of the Land of Israel, such a recognition cannot come at the expense of Jewish claims to be an (if not the sole) indigenous population and the need for a safe haven for preserving Jewish culture and identity and protecting the lives of Jews. Ultimately, the existence of Israel is more about preserving life than it is about anything else that can be attributed to Zionist ideology, such as the cultural and territorial rebirth of an ancient civilization or the creation of a new Jewish identity. 

I believe that the vast majority of Israeli Jews want the Palestinians to have dignified lives and to govern themselves, and would even be willing to grant major concessions in exchange for true peace. However, few Israeli Jews, across the political spectrum, truly believe that the Palestinians as a whole can be trusted not to attempt a Jewish genocide. This is even if we don’t take into account that half the Palestinian population have been governed by the radical Hamas organisation, and it’s unclear what kind of government they’ll form next. The relatively friendlier Mahmoud Abbas has also proven unable to accept multiple peace proposals and the likelihood that a peace treaty would survive his probable assassination remains low. 

Why One State? 

While some anti-Israel propaganda claims to seek a “democratic” alternative to the Jewish nation-state, in the form of a single state that grants equal rights from the river to the sea, the reality of this proposal tends to favour the restoration of a Palestinian Arab character to the state, with a nominal concession that Jews already living in the area may remain. The “equality” for Jews in this context would mean that they should enjoy equal civil rights, but no national rights.  

The dubiousness of this ostensibly liberal agenda is revealed by the common assumption that while the Palestinian refugees (almost none of which can today be categorised as such according to universally accepted definitions) may be granted the “Right of Return”, Jews would have to give up the “Law of Return”, in addition to the declared Jewish character of the state.  

The feasibility of a democratic binational or non-national state is further undermined by the evident inability of the Palestinian Arabs to guarantee that such a state remains democratic – not a single Arab country today, with the possible exception of Tunisia, which has yet to be tested, is a liberal democratic country by any stretch. The closest example was Lebanon before the civil war – a flawed and barely functioning confessional democracy as it was – and we all know how that ended. 

Before we can discuss a joint democratic state, we will at the very least need to see some form of democracy, even if imperfect, demonstrated by both societies. If the “democracy” of one side means the destruction of the other, perhaps due to popular support for genocide, this is no recipe for cooperation. In almost 70 years of organised political existence, the Palestinians have held elections… once. The result was a plurality voting for a party whose charter is committed to the genocide of Jews, followed by a very undemocratic clash in the Gaza Strip that saw Hamas kill hundreds of PLO officials. To speak of the rule of law or government accountability, let alone the concept of human rights, is detached from the reality of internal Palestinian politics. Israeli democracy struggles as it is with the divisions within Israeli Jewish societies – to suggest that it could somehow be extended to include all the Palestinians seems equally unrealistic.  

The Powerless “Peace Process” 

The standard approach to negotiating the conflict, which emphasizes Palestinian demands and hopes to achieve Israeli concessions, limited by Israeli demands, frames the conflict as asymmetrical on all levels. Little attention is given to the fact that the Palestinians, although they do not hold any of the material chips in this case, must also make concessions, and relinquish some of their claims. 

The Palestinians have always felt emboldened to make maximalist claims that negate the existence of a Jewish state in any form (the Oslo era rapprochement being a complicated issue with the sincerity of Palestinian intentions questionable at best). This is because they have always received the automatic, and often unconditional, support of a large portion of the world – far larger and more unequivocal, at least at the moral level, than any support Israel has ever had. The popularity of the Palestinian cause, even if it has brought little good to the Palestinians themselves, has helped them consolidate their sense of righteousness. Even when Palestinians misbehave, they are more or less excused, for the most part, by the UN and by Western governments, and granted a concession because of their being the weaker party. 

However, in the realm of public opinion, the Palestinians are not, nor have ever been, the weaker party. There has never been a truly concerted effort by the Western powers, with the brief exception of Trump, to outright reject the legitimacy of the Palestinian narrative and hold the Palestinian leadership accountable. Past efforts to reach a “solution” have put some pressure on Palestinians to negotiate, but the onus has largely been placed on Israel to grant territorial concessions and economic carrots. The Palestinians have never been presented with the possibility of suffering a punishment that is significantly worse than the status quo, and they have not shown much interest in the economic potential of a peace accord. 

Only a decisive and permanent victory in which the entirety of the territory claimed by Israel is effectively wiped clean of its Arab Palestinian population could bring about an end to the kind of conflict we are seeing today – an end to the intermittent attacks by Palestinian militias and “lone wolf” terrorists and to the reality in which Israel maintains a security perimeter around the Palestinian population centres – a policy often condemned as either “illegal occupation” or “apartheid”.  

Ironically, if the conflict were between Palestinians and an Arab state like Assad’s Syria, it would likely have been “resolved” long ago. I expect that most countries facing a similar situation, with a hostile population residing within their own territory or in strategic areas that pose a threat to them, would have long ago employed unethical means to either disperse that hostile population or at the very least seek a decisive victory.  

Despite the popular accusations levelled against Israel, the targeting of civilians or the prospect of ethnic cleansing have never been on the agenda. The desperation of countries like South Africa, teetering on the brink of failed state status, to take Israel to court for “genocide” do not change this fact. The Palestinians (both Hamas and the PLO) know that Israel is unwilling, even if it were capable, to take such steps. Even after October 7, the Israeli government has repeatedly denied that it seeks to displace Gazans. Despite all the condemnations, Israel is still seen as perhaps too meek for its neighbourhood. Thus, the ability of the state to exert pressure or provide incentives for cooperation is extremely limited. 

Final Thoughts 

In the absence of a decisive victory, not of one state against another, but of one people against the other, resulting in some form of ethnic cleansing and an irreversible new reality on the ground, it is unlikely that we will see, within our lifetimes if ever, a true solution to the conflict. No permanent status, no end of claims and no peaceful coexistence. As long as we are unwilling to do what we believe to be morally reprehensible, we will be stuck with a conflict that we have to “manage” like a chronic, incurable disease.  

The emphasis both for Israel and the international community should be, above all, to promote stability and reduce the impact of violent altercations. Pushing for solutions, whatever they may be, does not promote stability and will not end the violence. If anything, for any final status solution to be effective, it would have to be painful, and likely incredibly violent. For better or worse, we Jews are not too keen on instigating a “final solution”. 

The Power of Identity 

Identity politics are tapping into a primal force. 

It might not be something we think about every day. Our personal identity may be the product of circumstance – a cosmic accident by which we happened to be born in a certain place, at a certain time, and into a certain family. But identity touches everything in human life – it quite literally defines us as individuals and as a collective. But what is it? 

The term “identity” has several conflicting definitions, but I believe there are two contrasting and complementary definitions that can encapsulate for the most part the broad and nebulous meaning of the word. The first is the title bestowed upon a subject from the outside – this includes one’s given name at birth, assigned gender and citizenship. This is a relatively static legal status, typically recorded in a document such as passport or birth certificate, which determines entitlement to rights and obligations agreed upon by states and communities. This form of identity is used in statistics and allocating resources, but it can also be used to mete out punishments and deny certain rights. 

The other concept of “identity” is far more dynamic, and less easy to define. This is the subjective, constantly evolving process of identifying oneself – the personal experience of an individual’s place in the world. Ideology plays a significant role in this form of identity, as does family, sexual orientation and even affiliation with a sports team. The emphasis constantly shifts from one aspect of identity to another, and often depends on context.  

These two forms of identity are not, of course, mutually exclusive. Indeed, they often inform each other, providing a sometimes-uncomfortable feedback loop between how an individual sees oneself and how the outside world views that individual. The assigned identity will inevitably inform the self-identity, but the latter may at times manage to tweak the former as well. This is what happens when people change their names, religions or genders. 

The most significant aspect of identity is that it covers both individual, personal forms of identity, as well as collective identities. Thus, an individual’s membership in a certain group will often shape that individual’s values and worldview, if not their loyalties. One’s native language determines not only how one experiences the world and with whom one can communicate, but it also often defines one as a member of an ethnolinguistic or cultural group. Many people internalise this identifier and become deeply attached to their language, just as to their religion, hometown or social milieu.  

This notion of loyalty, or as some might term it, “solidarity”, is where identity becomes political. An individual’s membership in a group obligates him or her to identify with that group, and to support that group’s interests vis-a-vis rival groups. In its most innocent form, this sense of solidarity can be a source of pride and warmth – you get the sense that you are not alone, and there is someone out there looking out for you. In its darkest incarnation it can turn violent and even genocidal. In such circumstances, you might not feel you have much of a choice if you are to survive. Your tribe may have to do the unthinkable to survive, and if your own loyalty to the cause is in question, you may be dropped from the club and wind up without a tribal home altogether. 

In most cases, however, the various “tribes” that make up human identity tend to cooperate. This is partly because collaboration brings results, but it is also because each individual is a complex mosaic of complementary and at times competing identities. A woman might care deeply for her female identity, but it won’t be to the exclusion of her identifying as an American or a Christian. She might identify as a Republican, but that shouldn’t mean she supports every single GOP policy, or views every Republican congressman as her representative.  

Indeed, the “intersectionality” movement rests on the notion that various groups share common interests. Those interests are often ill-defined, and, in practice, intersectionality often leads to an incoherent force of destruction – antiestablishment – distinguished by its opposition to the “dominant” group rather than by its positive support for anything in particular.  

Intersectionality is a brand of identity politics that, despite its basis in pluralism, demands its adherents to pick a side in any battle. It ironically ignores the subtle and evolving nature of identity by attempting to impose a black-and-white dichotomy of good and bad. Thus, the dominant, majority group is necessarily on the wrong side, and if you happen to be a member of that group, you can remedy it only be denouncing your own tribe, apologising for your being a member of it, and joining the crusade as an “ally”. This is simple enough. 

But what happens when your own identities are split? When you are in conflict with yourself? This is the dilemma facing many members of minority groups who would like to just live their lives and integrate as best they can into the mainstream fold. We all have dual (or manifold) loyalties, but it’s only a problem when those loyalties are at war with one another.  

In this day and age, being a Japanese American is not an impossibility – one can be both quite comfortably, adopting the aspects of each culture that best suit one’s personal goals and sense of fulfilment. But jump back 70 years and the situation was entirely different. Japan was at war with the USA, and the emperor demanded absolute loyalty, to the death, of each of his subjects. The Shinto religion was enlisted to help legitimise the war and mobilise the troops. Meanwhile, the “freedom” the Americans were protecting was weaponised against Americans of Japanese descent and used to justify stripping their constitutional rights. Similar conflicts of identity exist today, though not usually to the same extent. 

Two examples close to my heart are the situation of Jews in Western countries and Arabs in Israel. Both find themselves in situations where they are both part of society and apart from it. In the case of Western Jews, there is often denial of this contradiction. Sometimes there is a retreat to paranoia, and sometimes there’s an attempt to reaffirm one’s loyalty to the outgroup while downplaying one’s ethnoreligious identity – progressive Jews may describe themselves as progressives first, for example. But when push comes to shove, for the most part (with the possible exception of America), Jews tend to identify first and foremost as Jews. Higher degrees of religious observance and connection to the Hebrew language may reflect a stronger Jewish identity, sometimes with nationalistic flavours. This is neither a good or a bad thing in and of itself. The problem arises only when Jews are forced to choose between loyalty to the land they live in and loyalty to their own tribe. 

For Arabs in Israel, the majority of whom identify, to some extent, as Palestinian, the paradox is even sharper. On the one hand, they are the only Arab population in the Middle East to enjoy the benefits of democratic citizenship, with access to relatively developed services and opportunities. On the other hand, there are many disparities between the Arab and Jewish sectors as a whole, and many Arabs experience discrimination. More importantly, there is the question of to what extent one can identify with a state that is at war with one’s nation. Israel is their home, but their national and religious identities obligate them to express solidarity with its enemies.  

On a sociocultural level, they are an awkward hybrid. In a sense they are not merely Arab, due to their exposure to Israeli society and their participation in the political and economic life of the state… they may have more in common with Jewish Israelis than with non-Israeli Arabs in many respects, especially regarding the experience of citizenship. On the other hand, the ability of Arabs to identify as “Israeli” is also somewhat limited by virtue of their not being Jewish… they may feel that, even if they are citizens ostensibly guaranteed equal civil rights by law, they are not fully-fledged Israelis if Israel is defined as a Jewish state. 

For Christian Arabs the picture is even more complicated, as they are a minority within a minority, often mistrusted from within and without. One response is to double down on Palestinian identity, seeking to find common ground with Muslim Arabs. Another response is to detach oneself from Palestinian or Arab identity – some Arab-speaking Christians define themselves not as Arabs but as Aramaeans, Canaanites or even Greek (if they are Orthodox). 

The minefield of modern identity politics can feel overwhelming and arbitrary, and sometimes painful. But identity politics is nothing new. The struggle between religious nationalism and secular cosmopolitanism has existed for millennia. 

A Muslim Holocaust? 

Could the tide of history in the West once again reach the summit of intolerance? 

According to a recent study by RealityCheck, Holocaust education has a significant impact on reducing hate crimes of all stripes. The awareness of the horrors of the Nazi atrocities against ethnic minorities, chief among them Jews, combined with human empathy and identification with the victims, helps temper the fears and hatreds of the Other in general. Importantly, this effect even was observed regarding crimes against Muslims.  

I don’t want to get into the whole debate about “Islamophobia” and what it is or isn’t, or whether there is something to fear in Islamic ideologies. What I do care about is when biases translate into active discrimination and violence against individuals due to their association with a particular group or identity. This is especially troubling for me given that ethnic and religious associations are rarely a choice, they are usually inherited from one’s parents and go deeper than mere culture.  

For a liberal-minded citizen of the world, who would like to see all humans as unique individuals equally deserving of opportunities and to be judged on their own merits, it is troubling to see growing intolerance in the very countries that seem to promote global integration and anti-racism.  

In much of the “civilised” European societies, there are growing tensions between the old national populations and the growing numbers of ethnic minorities and recent immigrants from the rest of the world. While Europe remains relatively stable and prosperous, it is not inconceivable that things could take a dark turn. An economic collapse or security crisis could trigger a reactionary fervour as happened in the past, making Europe’s minorities unsafe once again. 

While the likelihood of another “Holocaust” against Jews or others seems unlikely at this point, some of the underlying conditions that allowed the persecutions of Jews and Roma (Gypsies) over the centuries and culminated in the Nazi extermination campaign remain present in Europe and other Western countries. It is crucial to understand the history to predict and prevent its repetition. 

An insensitive Charlie Hebdo cartoon in response to the 2023 Turkish earthquake. The caption reads, “No need to send the tanks!”

Jews: The Oldest Other 

Jews attracted hatred from the Christian-majority populations of Europe by virtue of their very existence. The identity of the Jews, not least the fact that they were considered to be the people of the Saviour whilst simultaneously rejecting Him, made them a source of discomfort and a symbol of weakness, backwardness and godforsaken misery. They survived through the ages as a relatively isolated community, resisting assimilation and sticking out like a saw thumb in the social and religious fabric of Medieval Europe. They were everywhere and of nowhere – clearly foreigners in the lands they resided. Of course, the long history of Jews in Europe is far more complex than the simple progression of persecution – in some cases they were welcomed, even invited, by the rulers of various European kingdoms, Christian and Muslim alike, and when periods of religious fervour and crisis hit (such as the successive economic crises facing kings with a penchant for overspending, or the harsh impact of the plague), local rulers found a convenient scapegoat in the form of the Jews.  

However, to say that Jews did not, by virtue of their very identity, pose a threat to the social and cultural fabric of emerging nations in the period of modernization that followed Europe’s gradual abandoning of Church authority, would be a lie. Jews did, and continue to this day to, represent a significant minority whose allegiances could not be counted upon in the same way as those of fully-fledged members of the emerging nation-states. Even in secular societies, like Republican France, the deeply rooted historical and cultural identity of the majority population as Catholic had rendered it very difficult for Jews to ever fully be embraced as one and the same as their host population. Jews also represented different cultural values – whether justly or unjustly, the perception of Jews as being too liberal, too traditional or too stubborn in their rejection of Jesus, meant that they would always be seen as Other.  

When the authority of the Church had dwindled and European societies began to see themselves primarily in national (rather than religious) terms, Jews easily fit into the national definition of Other within the new context – Jews had, after all, been a nation before they had been a religion, and they had never been a religion in the traditional Christian (or Muslim) sense of being detached from language and ethnicity and being open to all. Thus, the new, racialised form of Antisemitism began to replace the old religious one, and it was far worse, because it appealed to (pseudo-)scientific rationality and rendered Jewish identity immutable – whereas in the past, a Jew could simply convert to Christianity and within a couple of generations their original Jewish heritage would have been forgotten, the new racist conception of the world saw the essence of Jewishness as being characterised by physically inherited traits that could not be converted or renounced.  

In any case, the existence of a significant minority in your midst, who does not identify fully as one of you, and who you do not see as an undifferentiated part of yourself, can have serious implications for social cohesion. In times of peace and prosperity, when liberalism can reign supreme and when there is no sense of threat from the pluralistic nature of society, Jews can flourish and are permitted to be both with and apart from the majority population. In times of social upheaval, defensiveness and the need for a scapegoat, the most prominent minority will inevitably be identified as a source of friction. Liberalism with all it entails, including pluralism, individualism and civil liberties, is the privilege of secure and prosperous societies, and it is always fragile – put simply, not everyone can “afford” to be liberal or tolerant, and survival instincts take precedence.  

What This Means for Modern Europe 

My reluctant belief, as much as I would like to put my faith and liberalism and trust that compassion and rationality will trump fear and superstition, is that societies struggle to be cohesive if they are not homogenous. This social homogeneity needn’t preclude pluralism, nor the existence of significant subcultures or even ethnic and cultural minorities – but it does require having a clear consensus on the core values and identity of a society, which are not up to debate.  

For some societies, ethnic or “racial” considerations inform the dominant cultural character, but this needn’t be the case. In New World societies, racial categories are not meaningful in terms of national belonging – anyone can be Canadian, American or Australian, at least in theory. In reality, the immutable, ethnic or racial components of an individual’s identity have played a significant role in determining the extent to which that individual is seen (and sees himself) as part of the national fold. We would not have a large and vocal movement exclusively dedicated to the message that “Black Lives Matter” if the civic vision of the US as a post-racial society had actually come to fruition. Both “Blacks” and “Whites”, as well as other groups such as “Hispanics” and “Indigenous” communities, tend to place importance on their racial identity, and this informs the way that individuals interact with the world around them – Blacks are far more likely to be suspicious of the police, Whites might feel safer around other Whites, and Jews are generally much more sensitive to anything that could be perceived as antisemitism than is the general population. Despite these racial identifiers being rather arbitrary and superficial categories, they are used in statistics and affirmative action policies, and they subconsciously inform life-affecting decisions such as access to employment, housing and education.  

Even in cases where there is no demonstrable legal policy discriminating between groups, an individual’s identification with a particular racial group is generally also understood as identification with a cultural group. This is most clearly exemplified by concepts such as AAVE (African American Vernacular English), “code-switching”, and the expectation in many areas that blacks should vote Democrat. Theoretically, there should be no difference between a White American and a Black American, between a Jewish Australian or Chinese Australian and an Indigenous Australian, but the reality shows us something quite different. The likelihood of being involved in crime, of growing up in a two-parent household, of receiving a good education and even of identifying with a particular political party – all these correlate with one’s subcultural or “racial” identity.  

When such sharp contrasts between visibly different communities are obvious, it becomes very difficult to hide or ignore them. When political tensions arise for whatever reason, as they inevitable do, people tend to look for whom they can trust and whom they can blame. Historically, Jews have been the infamously detached, disproportionately successful minority group – the archetypical Other – and it is not entirely inaccurate to suggest that any minority group has a sense of “dual loyalty”. Today, depending on where you are, that minority might be the Chinese, Indians, or (more nebulously) the “Left”.  

However, when it comes to issues of social cohesion and allegiance, it is the weaker minority that is often more problematic. The disadvantaged community is not only a source of suspicion for the majority, but tends to feel deprived and discriminated against and his little trust in mainstream authorities or law enforcement. This has variously included Blacks, Latinos, indigenous peoples and the Roma, but today the emerging “disadvantaged minority”, especially in Europe, is the relatively recent phenomenon of Muslim immigrants.  

However, unlike racial categories, Muslim identity, like Jewish identity, is generally based on religion but often implies significant cultural and ethnic components. Thus, in countries like Australia and the UK, “Muslim” is often shorthand for Arab or Pakistani, and even if the ethnic and cultural diversity of Muslims is acknowledged, there is a clear cultural difference and racial overtones to the distinction.  

So, what does this mean for social cohesion in a liberal nation-state, whether defined by jus sanguinis or jus soli citizenship? Ultimately, members of the downtrodden community will feel they lack equal opportunity and respect from the majority – they will feel a sense of frustration given their limited ability to influence the policies and behaviour of mainstream society, and they will be reluctant to comply with rules whose source of legitimacy they don’t recognise. In the case of a conflict between states or communities, the prime identity, which is often the ethnic or religious, rather than the national, will determine which allegiances win out.  

We are currently in the post-war era for Europe, which has been characterised by relative political stability and economic prosperity, and the balancing of national interests with regional cooperation. Many Europeans today believe that the interdependence of Europe, particularly in the economic sphere, is the source of today’s stability. The theory goes that European countries have too much of a vested interest in cooperating with their neighbours to ever go to war. However, European economic interdependence is not new, and trade between countries characterised the Continent’s economic development well before the 20th Century. Protectionism was only seriously introduced after the collapse of resources and services in the wake of the First World War, and it remained limited. Indeed, some protectionist policies were strengthened in the post-Second World War era.  

Therefore, I posit that the true source of European stability and cooperation today is the result of a very painful, but evidently necessary exchange of populations and determination of borders. Ethnic cleansing, especially in eastern Europe, enabled the creation of clearly defined nation-states and a settlement of territorial claims. It was not only the states involved who either lost or won, but the people themselves.  

Today, the war is often described as an Allied campaigned against a Nazi regime, rather than against the German people. But during the Nazi era, the Nazi regime and the German people were one and the same. One could not defeat one without the other. Ending Nazi claims also necessitated ending German claims that long predated the rise of the National Socialist Workers’ Party – some of these claims may even have been legitimate and were understandably supported by the vast majority of ethnic Germans as well as many other sympathetic Europeans. Only truly immense suffering by the German people, in its entirety, could extinguish the fire of Nazi ideology and delegitimise it in the face of a generation of indoctrination.  

The irony of the era of the European Union, with its freedom of movement, devolution of nationalism and embrace of non-European immigration, is the undermining of the cultural and political conditions that enabled it in the first place. The new Europeans, who are at once equal, legitimate European citizens and socio-cultural outsiders, would not be a problem so long as they recognised the dominant character of their host states and did not seek or expect to change them. Nor would it be a problem if the continent were immune to terrorism and socio-economic strife.  

However, while the situation in Europe remains fairly good today, there is no guarantee that it will remain so in the future. Another economic crisis accompanied by a wave of terrorist attacks or insubordination by a minority, coupled with increased frustration by veteran citizens who feel they have less of a say in their countries’ policies than they had before joining the European Union, could eventually reignite the monster of violent nationalism and ethnic tension. 

It is not entirely unreasonable to suggest that the future could see a turn of events in Europe that lead to clashes between Muslims and non-Muslims, and increased outright discrimination, in some countries. There may even be an attempt by some countries to turn the clock back, seeking to expel those immigrants and their children, who are seen as a burden or fifth column. Muslims will no longer be welcome in Europe, the Enlightenment will have failed, and Christian religious identity may make a comeback in even the most secular societies. 

I do not believe, however, that we are likely to see something akin to the Jewish Holocaust, which was a concerted, industrial effort by a government to dispossess, expel and, eventually, exterminate all members of selected minorities (most notably Jews and Roma). State-sanctioned discrimination will likely be limited to questions of immigration and citizenship. I also don’t believe that any attack or discriminatory policy against Muslims will emerge out of the blue, but would rather be in response to violent attacks and statements associated with Muslims – this would be another point of difference between persecution of Muslims in Europe and historic persecution of Jews and Roma, who were impeccably pacifistic and never sought to dominate or alter their host societies as do Jihadi-Islamists and even “moderate” Wasati Muslims. 

In this sense, what we are likely to see is more akin to an ethno-religious civil war, emerging from the bottom up, that extends across borders and represents a mutual, inter-communal conflict over the character of European society rather than a clear-cut case of one-sided persecution of minorities. The trouble with this is, no matter how “justified” the veteran Europeans may be in fearing their Muslims compatriots, it will mean an abandonment of the liberal values that protect all citizens in Europe. As it did in the past, the abuse of irresponsible liberalism could instigate a return to what we may call “fascism” or the suspension of human liberties for the sake of the national interest.  

Thus, the nativist elements must not be allowed to win any more than the Islamic extremists. The face of Europe has already changed, and it is too late to turn the clock back. My main concern is that the liberal middle ground, which today occupies the mainstream position in different forms, and which stands for equality and the rule of law, freedom of and from religion, participatory politics and a celebration of cultural heritage, will become a minority that cannot compete with the extremists on either side.  

In the context of a civil war, especially if it becomes a total war, one cannot choose to stay neutral – a liberal’s silence will constitute tacit support of whoever wins, which is ultimately whoever is more radical and forceful. Conversely, many Muslims may wish to dissociate from their extremist coreligionists and maintain their status as equal citizens in a liberal society, but these will be forced to pick a side – coming under pressure to either fully adopt a Jihadist doctrine or leave Islam altogether. They may form a movement of European Muslims that sides with secularist or nativist European groups.  

How can one maintain a liberal jus soli approach to nationalism if half the population supports, to various degrees, an overhaul of the religious and cultural character of the state, and whose conception of freedom of religion conflicts with the local understanding of religious freedom? Alternatively, how can one continue to justify a jus sanguinis legitimation of citizenship if the ethnic majority ceases to be an overwhelming majority? Is it fair to arbitrarily detach a country from its heritage? Is it fair to deny some elements of society a say in what constitutes the national character? When ethnic and religious violence enters the picture, these questions become even trickier to answer, and the immediate need for security muddies other considerations. 

In such an environment, complex hyphenated identities may be harder to maintain.

Religion of Peace?

It is irrelevant whether the “clash” between Islam and Western civilisation is real – what matters is that many people on both sides perceive it to be. 

The popular discourse on Islam and Islamophobia is often centred on the question: Is Islam a religion of peace? However, I believe this is the wrong question, given that all major religions, Islam included, contain in their scriptures and traditions both calls for peace and dictates for war. Thus, the correct question is: To what extent does a religion or culture seek to dominate? 

Defenders of Islam tend to paint the “original” faith as being a peaceful and tolerant religion, committed to equality and justice. These “moderates” often claim that the extremist Jihadists have misinterpreted the Qur’an, though they don’t deny the relevance of the violent excerpts that have been misinterpreted. Critics of Islam often hold that it is a uniquely brutal religion and that the Qur’an and Hadiths leave little room for interpretation on the matter. 

In my view, the clashes between Islam and what is typically termed “the West”, are not necessarily related to any fundamental religious precepts and cannot be explained by differences in scripture alone. Indeed, the Bible can and has been used to justify acts of violence, repression and persecution. Likewise, the host of cultural norms that are seen as either primitive or modern, such as the role of women, tolerance of homosexuality and parental authority, are constantly evolving, and are not directly correlated to religion.  

Thus, the primary difference between most of the West and much of the Islamic world today appears to be the popular legitimacy of theocracy. Even in “secular” Muslim-majority states, the influence of religion over politics appears to far outweigh that in even more conservative Western Christian states with official religions.  

This explanation is limited, however, as it doesn’t quite capture the vacillations occurring in both groups of societies over the last century. Ardently secular movements, while mostly not liberal in the Western sense, have risen and dominated in the Muslim world. Likewise, theocratic considerations affect the politics of even the most secular of Western societies, with God and religion often being used to justify or enhance an argument (i.e. the debate surrounding abortion in the US). Thus, much of the antagonism between Muslims and conservative Westerners, who may in many cases share similar values and worldviews, is related to a strong sense of identity.  

The “West”, since medieval times, has come into conflict with an Islamic “East” almost as much as it has come into conflict with itself. Despite the incessant warring both within the Islamic world and in the West, societies in both conceived themselves as being part of exclusive “civilisations”, centred on a shared set of religious and political values. The West was typically referred to as “Christendom”, often with the Pope in the centre, while the Islamic world referred to itself as the umma, or community of the faithful, whose political and religious leader was the Caliph. Both civilisations were split (Catholics and Orthodox, and later Protestants, on the one hand, and Sunni and Shi’a on the other) and were hardly unified politically, culturally, linguistically or even theologically, but they still understood themselves as sharing a common faith, for the most part, and of belonging to the same spiritual identity.  

According to the narrative of some modern Christians, Islam posed a threat from the onset, and was largely to blame for the collapse of Western society. According to this view, the Arabs and later Turks were able to subjugate large segments of the Christian world because their faith was brutal and militaristic. However, this narrative ignores the fact that Europe had become decentralised and divided long before the rise of Islam, and that neither the Christian Byzantines nor the “Latins” in Western Europe were particularly peaceful.  

Moreover, the success of early Islam in conquering such vast territories was facilitated by the power vacuum left in the wake of destructive wars between the Byzantines and Sasanians. The two empires had weakened each other to the point that even a band of desert nomads could swoop in and establish a Caliphate stretching from Spain and Morocco to the approaches of India. 

On the other end of the spectrum, we find the narrative of modern wasati (middle-way) Islamists. These probably represent the largest segment of the Muslim population, and though they are conservative by Western standards, they perceive themselves as being moderate, aiming to balance reverence for tradition with the progress of political and economic modernisation.  Their narrative of how Islam came to dominate so much of the world is based on what I call the da’wa (mission) interpretation of history. 

I define the da’wa interpretation of the spread of Islam as the idea that the new religion gained popularity primarily as a result of its apparent moral superiority and the persuasive enthusiasm and conviction of its adherents, promulgated by peaceful Da’i missionaries, rather than by means of violent conquest, structural pressures in the caliphate, and the subjugation of large non-Muslim populations” 

The da’wa interpretation of the early spread of Islam doesn’t hold up to scrutiny, though it may have some merit in explaining the gradual Islamisation of the periphery of the Muslim world (in sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia) during the “Golden Age of Islam”, when the Islamicate was the unquestionable centre of global trade, science and culture. For the most part, Islam was indeed “spread by the sword” and established itself as a force to be reckoned with through the use of violence.  

However, it should also be noted that the concept of jihad, or “holy war” as it is often translated today, did not exist at the dawn of Islam. Initially, Islam was a religion for Arabs alone, and conversion by non-Arabs was discouraged. The conquests of the Rashidun Caliphate were motivated not by religion but by plunder. Thus, a nomadic people accustomed to periodically raiding the fringes of the settled world and intercepting trade routes took advantage of the newfound weakness of the Byzantine and Sassanian empires, establishing themselves as an elite ruling minority over a foreign, settled population that they did not intend to integrate. Christians and Jews were perhaps even more valuable subjects than Muslims, as they could be taxed at higher rates. Gradually, the Arabs began to settle across their new empire, and locals converted – perhaps to take advantage of the higher social and economic status afforded to a Muslim in the Caliphate. As the religion matured, tolerance gave way at times to persecution, massacres and forced conversions, but remained a core principle of the Islamic worldview. 

From a Jewish perspective, neither civilisation was particularly friendly, though for the most part the Islamicate was marginally better than medieval Christendom. Both civilisations experienced periods of tolerance and cultural flourishing, as well as periods of persecution and unrest. Were one to look at the world as it was around 300 years ago, it would’ve been anyone’s guess which would end up on top.  

So what happened? Why do we now associate the “West” with enlightenment and human rights, while “Islam” is still mired by religious dogma and civil strife? 

Following the Rennaissance, and gaining ground with the American and French revolutions, the concept of Christendom began to be replaced by a secular concept of Western civilisation, with roots in Ancient Greece and Rome. Humanistic philosophy, classic art and a political ideology of unalienable rights and the rule of law began to replace revelation and papal or monarchical authority. 

The pluralism of Western religion, most notably in America, is a natural product of the constitutional commitment to secularism (separation of Church and State) and of the ultimate self-governance of the individual. These are ideas that came to prominence in what came to be known as the Enlightenment. 

At the core of this Enlightenment thinking is the acceptance of doubt. The existence of ultimate truth is not necessarily denied (as in postmodernist thinking), but it is divorced from revelation and from any single religious or political authority. We are encouraged to question what we know, or think we know, and apply the Socratic method. We are also encouraged to view the individual as sovereign and as having unlimited potential. The ability to doubt one’s own deeply held beliefs allows societies to be more tolerant towards differing beliefs. Ultimately, it allows for the continuous self-corrective process of democratic government, and for both political secularism (separation of Church and State) and cultural laicism (reduced influence of religion over the lifestyle of the individual). 

The right wing of both the Western and Islamic worlds tend to frame the clash of civilisations in essentialist terms, with each side perceiving the other as seeking to dominate and subjugate the world, while insisting that their own motivations are to defend their homelands and promote their vision of justice in the world. At the end of the day, both Muslims movements and Christian movements, as well as secular liberal movements, seek to dominate the globe, at least on an ideological level. Some of these may be more willing to use violence, others may rely more on “soft power”, but at the end of the day they all seek to reshape the world in their own image.

This ideological imperialism can apply to any set of values and beliefs, whether secular or religious. The main difference today, however, is that secular and Christian ideologies emanating from the West are no longer used to justify violence in the same way as many Muslims still use their religion to justify the same – even if they are in the clear minority, the prevalence of Jihadists and their sympathisers remains a cause for concern. This is not to say that things have always been this way or that they may not change again, or that these differences in political culture represent inherent differences in religion.

It is interesting to note that conservatives in both the West and in the Islamic world often perceive Israel as being an outpost of western civilisation at the forefront of the battle for global domination. The irony is that Israel itself is not as firmly within the Western camp as many believe, and the struggle between Jews and Arabs in the region ultimately has little to do with the broader “clash of civilisations”, which can be seen more readily in Europe and in the Arab world than in Israel.  

For example, Western European countries, now faced with a growing population of Muslims at home, are struggling to reinterpret their own identities to accommodate these new minorities. Meanwhile, many Muslim countries, from the Gulf to North Africa to Turkey, have struggled to preserve their own cultures and identities whilst adopting Western economic, political and cultural norms. 

On the other hand, the globally-oriented left wing often fails to see that some people’s core values and beliefs are at times incompatible, and that the values of one society may be almost unquestionably more desirable than those of another (at least in terms of outcomes if not in absolute moral terms). Deep attachments to tradition and parochial loyalties must not be ignored, and neither should the dangers of a less tolerant culture. For example, there have been alarming findings that in certain countries, public toleration of honour killings is higher than that for homosexuality. However, such mentalities as we in the secular “West” deem primitive, are not necessarily a product of religion. There are many factors shaping the culture of a society, and religion is only one of them – furthermore, religions evolve almost as quickly as US foreign policy. 

In a world of constant ideological and cultural flux and cross-pollination, an individual’s reaction to any statement, policy or belief may have less to do with its content or value than with the identity of its proponents. If we are to allow ourselves to reconciliate and cooperate for the benefit of all people, we must acknowledge our biases and loyalties. We must be able to question our assumptions and beliefs – to put them to the test, so to speak – without necessarily abandoning our long-held core values and identities. After all, while not all cultures are equal, no culture has a complete monopoly on morality, nor on wisdom or foolishness. 

If Not for Peace Now, We Might Have Had Peace by Now

Just as in baking, peace requires patience: opening the oven too soon can do irreversible damage to a half-baked soufflé. 

I remember the spirit of the nineties in Tel Aviv. Though I was a small child at the time, barely conscious of political trends, let alone the details of defence policy or international agreements, the mood on the street was palpable. Even after the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, remembered as a major shock and tragedy, the left and centre (including much of what today would be considered centre-right) of Israeli society remained optimistic, believing that lasting peace was indeed within our grasp. For us children, proud as we were of our army, it did not seem entirely unreasonable to expect that by the time we grew up we may no longer need to enlist in the IDF. 

This was despite the steady rise in deadly terror attacks, including suicide bombings, over the decade. The sweet memory of the landmark peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan remained fresh, and we were confident that we were in a better position than ever before to make peace. We had the support of the US and of Europe, and we were sick and tired of sacrificing our soldiers in a never-ending string of wars with our neighbours, and we were sick of fearing for our lives every time we boarded a bus or visited a café. 

This was the time before we realised that the Oslo peace process was stillborn – a time when the so-called peace camp, led by Peace Now, and represented by Shimon Peres and his associates (notably Yossi Beilin), reached its peak, attracting vast crowds to the “pro-peace” rallies. I stress “so-called” because it was a given that peace was desirable – a core value of the liberal Zionist cause, which transcended any specific movement or political affiliation. The only real debate was how it could be achieved, and when.  

To understand the Oslo Accords and their aftermath, it is important to understand how they came about, and what the alternatives could have been. A full understanding of the peace process would require covering a century of negotiations, agreements and independent actions by various Israeli and Arab actors, but for the sake of brevity I will focus on the Oslo chapter of the process. 

In the early 1990s, Yossi Beilin, supported by Shimon Peres, headed the Track 2 negotiations with the Palestinian Liberation Organisation (PLO), initiating contact at a time when this was illegal. In 1993, then-Chairman of the PLO Yasser Arafat signalled that he was willing to discuss a peace treaty. The renewed American interest in the peace process, which started under President Bush with the Madrid Conference of 1991, gained momentum under the Clinton administration, and by 1993 it was impossible for the late Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin to refuse to meet with Arafat, though he vehemently opposed it. Internal pressure from Peres met with external pressure from the Americans, and Rabin’s hand was forced to recognise the PLO as the legitimate representative of the Palestinians, to transfer the PLO headquarters from Tunis to the West Bank and Gaza and establish a “civilian” police force 40,000 strong.  

Between 1993 and 1995, the two Oslo Accords (so named because negotiations were first conducted secretly in Oslo) were signed between Israel and the PLO. Officially known as the “Declaration of Principles on Interim Self-Government Arrangements” and the “Interim Agreement on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip”, they established what is now commonly referred to as the status quo of self-rule in Palestinian-populated areas, with Israel controlling the surrounding countryside. It should be noted that these agreements were only intended to be in effect for up to 5 years, by which time the parties were expected to resolve their differences. 

Deputy Foreign Minister Beilin later worked with Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) on a framework for agreement on permanent status (FAPS), which was the document that perhaps came closest to delineating what an actual peace agreement would look like. However, neither of these figures represented the mainstream demands of their societies, and in any case, the declaration never amounted to anything concrete, with many of its stipulations completely forgotten over the years. 

Shimon Peres, inheriting the premiership for several months following Rabin’s assassination, was the first Israeli leader to mention a “two state solution”. By the time of the 2002 Roadmap for Peace, the two state paradigm had become axiomatic, while the young Palestinian Authority (PA) had gained enough legitimacy to establish itself in Areas A and B and to grow complacent in its administration of its Palestinian subjects and in its commitment to the peace process. Aid was no longer conditioned on further overtures to peace, and the Israeli establishment accepted the PLO as the lesser evil, if not a peace partner, compared with the more overtly rejectionist Hamas. No international initiative truly demanded more on the part of the Palestinians until the 2020 “deal of the century” proposed by President Trump. 

For his part, Peres admitted on several occasions that he did not expect much from the Palestinians, but he did seem to believe that Arafat would be bound by an agreement and would thus uphold it. The flawed thinking of the “peace camp” came to be best exemplified by Peres’ reference to the victims of rise in terror attacks as “casualties of peace”. No number of illustrious meetings and fanciful declarations at the top could hide the brutal reality on the ground, which revealed that the peace process did not advance peace at all, but increased the violence.  

In his first term as Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu of Likud signalled he would put the breaks on the peace process, but he too continued the negotiations process where Rabin had left off. His successor, Ehud Barak of Labour restored Israeli enthusiasm to the process, but did not necessarily indicate a significant change in policy. By 2000, the Oslo peace process had decisively failed to bring about a resolution of the conflict, with the Palestinians launching a second Intifada. In any case, the Israeli mainstream remained officially committed to the two state solution, a paradigm only adopted after the signing of the Oslo Accords, with even the right-wing Netanyahu pledging his commitment to it in 2009. 

Arafat’s true motives cannot be known, but it appeared for a time in the early 1990s that he was genuinely interested in reaching an agreement, though it later turned out that he couldn’t bring himself to sign an “end of claims” clause. Arafat’s insistance in Arabic speeches that the “two-state solution” was but one part of a phased strategy to regain all of historic Palestine suggests that he may never have intended to reach a final status agreement, and that he used the peace process to buy himself time and keep the PLO afloat. This understanding makes sense given that, in the early 1990s, the Palestinian leadership in Tunis was broke, having backed Saddam Hussein in the Gulf War, and with its main superpower sponsor, the USSR, dissolving suddenly. Israeli negotiators at the time preferred to deal directly with local leaders in the Palestinian towns, which were disunited and lacked the power and formal organisation of the PLO. The Oslo Accords renewed the relevance of the “outside” Palestinian leadership at the expense of the “inside”, and fed into the narrative of the “refugees” who did not live in the territory in question. 

In hindsight, much is attributed to the deal that is simply not true, with an “international consensus” insisting that an unwritten understanding was implicitly understood by all. For instance, it did not call for the cession of settlement construction, nor earmark Area C of the West Bank/Judea and Samaria for a future Palestinian state. In fact, it never even mentions the creation of a Palestinian state, preferring instead to refer to a future “final status agreement”.  This built-in ambiguity was perhaps what allowed the signing of the accords in the first place, by concealing the unbridgeable divide between the basic demands of each side.  

Likewise, contemporary pundits often claim to speak for Rabin, either emphasizing his hawkishness or ignoring it entirely in favour of a dovish narrative. Commentators tend to lay the blame for the failure of the Oslo Accords not on any inherent flaw in the agreement or insurmountable obstacle between the parties, but on the flawed implementation of the agreement, with each side accusing the other of acting in bad faith. Beilin himself sees the problem not in the accords themselves, but in their implementation, laying the blame squarely on the Likud leadership. 

Others theorise that it was the terrorist activity of “spoilers” outside the mainstream of Israeli and Palestinian politics, such as Baruch Goldstein and Hamas suicide bombers, as well as the assassination of Rabin, that poisoned the atmosphere and undermined trust (though this interpretation overlooks the fact that negotiations continued after upticks in violence and halted during periods of relative calm). 

However, while it is probably fair to assume that each side ultimately understood the other’s bottom line, it was not possible to reach anything other than an agreement to attempt to reach an agreement. Israeli concessions intended as a show of good will were ignored, or even taken for granted (such as speaking to the PLO in the first place) or worse, as a sign of weakness, with the onus placed on the stronger party to compromise. Palestinian demands, such as dividing Jerusalem, were considered in earnest – even the symbolic recognition of a limited “right of return”, though it was clear that Israel would never accept its implementation in full (with negotiations to determine a number somewhere between 5,000 and 100,000 refugees to be resettled in Israel). The Palestinians did agree to recognise Israel, though never did so formally, and they never ceased their incitement and delegitimisation campaigns. Major settlement blocs and Jewish neighbourhoods in eastern Jerusalem were understood, under the Clinton Parameters, to belong to Israel in any future agreement, with the Palestinian capital to be established either in Abu Dis or in Arab parts of Jerusalem. The idea of sharing Jerusalem, and especially of relinquishing full sovereignty over the Holy Basin, was a bitter pill for the vast majority of Israelis to swallow, but even this was offered successively in the aftermath of the Oslo Accords, becoming part of the “consensus” at the time. 

According to game theorist Yisrael Aumann, the “Blackmailer’s Paradox” explains how the Palestinians were able to pocket concessions without yielding anything, given Israel’s desperation to reach an agreement. The Palestinians played the long game, with a willingness to come out of each round of negotiations empty-handed. Thus, it was Israel’s impatience in seeking to end the conflict once and for all, and its expectation that the Palestinians would play ball, that inhibited a strategic approach. 

As I see it, had the PLO been allowed to die, as it would have done naturally, without the lifeline that the Israeli left and the Americans threw to Arafat, developments would likely have turned out rather differently. The Palestinian national project, with its PA-controlled educational curriculum and news media, would not have been allowed to develop as it has, and it is possible even that the national consciousness of the Palestinian population would not have grown (after all, the primary identities of this population have, for time immemorial, been dominated by religious and tribal/clan affiliation).  

An alternative solution could just as well have restored a Jordanian identity to the Arab residents of the West Bank, which in any case remains disconnected from the Gaza Strip. Interim agreements with local and tribal leaders in the various Palestinian settlements could have yielded a more peaceful status quo, albeit without a comprehensive final status agreement. An absence of violence and greater exposure of Israelis and Palestinians to each other, on a personal (apolitical) level, along with an educational campaign to humanise Israelis in the eyes of Palestinians and an economic plan to raise the Palestinian standard of living, could have further contributed to an improved environment for an official peace process. Had the local Palestinians remained powerless for longer, they may have been more willing to act in good faith. 

However, by granting Palestinians self-rule before they were ready for it, and without extracting meaningful concessions in return, Israel under the influence of the peace camp sowed the seeds of greater conflict when the newly established Palestinian Authority would either fail or relinquish responsibility, which it was bound to do. Furthermore, legitimising the meddling of the more radical “outside” leadership in the internal Israeli-Palestinian affairs reignited the “war of return” whereby the Palestinians continue to demand repatriation of millions of refugees and their descendants within Israel proper.  

Our impatience and desperation to pursue the false promise of peace blinded us to the reality that the Palestinians were not ready to recognise the legitimacy of our claims to any territory, sovereignty or security. Perhaps we were also driven by misplaced confidence following the experience of achieving a peace treaty with Egypt, and allowed ourselves to cut corners on security and other guarantees.

 

All this happened when I was a small child, and my personal memory of it is thus limited. However, the failure of a utopian project reminds me of another childhood experience. I’ve always loved baking all sorts of goods, but none more so than the sophisticated chocolate soufflé. While my first couple of attempts at creating this delicacy were successful, I approached the third attempt with an abundance of confidence. I had taken all the necessary steps to ensure a viable mix, and shortly after I had placed it in the oven, I could smell the rich batter, see it slowly rising. With the memory of the sweet reward still fresh, I grew impatient, forgetting that the oven must remain sealed to control the heat. Forgetting that the time was not yet ripe, and that the rising batter was still fragile, I opened the oven if only to catch a clearer glimpse and a stronger whiff. It was a flop. I was able to adapt, enjoying the flavour without the texture, tempering the richness with a vanilla ice cream. But nothing could change the fact that it was ultimately a resounding failure. Ironically, today I don’t even have an oven (in my tiny flat in Tel Aviv) with which to give the recipe another go. 

While peace does not have a clear, simple and scientific recipe as do cakes and pastries, the baking analogy holds true. Opening the oven door too soon can have devastating consequences, and it is much harder to salvage a soufflé once it has flopped. Sure, you make do with what you have and try to manage the crisis as best you can, but you must at least recognise that it was your own impatience and overconfidence that doomed the entire enterprise. There is no going back now. 

Further reading: 

National Narratives and the Power of Identity – What Is a Palestinian?

Our understanding of what constitutes a “nation” depends on the type of society to which we belong. 

This is perhaps the most controversial theme I’ve approached on this site, but I feel it is essential to discuss the definitions and meaning of national identity if we are to understand national conflicts. As theorised by Benedict Anderson, nations are “imagined communities” held together by a shared sense of commonality, and while there are different formative processes of identity, the strongest identities tend to be those with more tangible links expressed through culture (including aesthetic traditions and core values), language and kinship. Most importantly of all, however, is the sense of solidarity between people, and the understanding of themselves as members of a collective rather than mere individuals. 

In essence, nationhood can be understood as a matter of perspective, and an individual’s membership in one national community or another will inevitably shape his narrative of any set of historical or political events. By virtue of one’s sense of belonging to a particular “side” in a conflict, one is automatically invested in the favourability of the outcome towards that side. Likewise, being convinced of the “rightness” of one’s cause is essential for self-esteem and survival. We are naturally inclined to believe that our own in-group has the moral high-ground, making it very difficult to question our moral superiority vis-à-vis an enemy. 

In some societies – those which are, in my view, more enlightened – doubt and self-reflection are encouraged. Members of the elite in Western countries are far more likely to openly question or even outright deny the dominant narratives of their societies, including a well-supported reading of history. This is in part down to individualism, which allows one to morally dissociate oneself from the surrounding social fabric and condemn the collective actions of one’s own “side”. It also enables the rejection of traditional moral norms, social structures and even authority – weakening the power of religious and political institutions over the mind of the individual.  

All this can be a good thing, of course, as it allows us to prod our collective assumptions and  influence change in our societies. It enables societies to reflect with humility, accepting that they may be flawed, or that they may have wronged others. However, unfettered individualism is as problematic as unthinking conformity. It rejects the notion of a common good and encourages self-interest at the expense of others. This makes it much more difficult to maintain cohesive, just and law-abiding societies.  

Individualism without social responsibility or solidarity is tantamount to anarchy and chaos. It rejects our core human nature, for we are social creatures. Even the most mature and self-sufficient adult cannot live alone – we are dependent on our societies, and we must respect the fact that we were formed by our surroundings. An educated person has inherited the values and input of the society in which he was educated, and of his parents. We were all clothed, fed, sheltered and taught to speak and think by our guardians and peers. A society therefore cannot be purely individualistic – for individualism ultimately precludes the very existence of society.  

The outcome of excessive individualism is that we forget the debt we owe to others, and we become more vulnerable to both internal and external threats. It makes it harder for people to work together, or even to recognise that we may be facing attack by a far less individualistic culture. This is relevant because the most dangerous societies on Earth tend to be the least individualistic. These societies find it much harder to self-correct or respect individual human liberties. They maintain strict hierarchies and are dominated by traditional values that are far more resistant to change. The individuals within these societies tend to respect external authority over their own reasoning, as they recognise themselves as parts of a larger collective. Put simply, they identify as members of a group, first and foremost, rather than simply as individuals. 

In the Old World, and perhaps most of all in the Middle East, this collective mentality remains strong. This is not to say that the identities themselves do not evolve – they do – but that the importance of identity and solidarity remains much higher when compared to New World societies, some of which may believe themselves to be post-national. In the Arab World, however, the struggle between various strains of nationalism, combined with religious and tribal identities, has created a complex reality in the modern age, which is difficult for outsiders to understand. 

The Arab world has shifted from solidarity primarily based on tribes and religion, to an ostensibly secular Pan-Arabism, to artificial sub-nationalism in modern states, to a return to sectarian and tribal groupings. An Arab individual must therefore juggle the often-conflicting demands of loyalty to the umma (the global community of Muslims), the qawm (the Arab nation as a whole), the state in which he resides, the class (peasant, urban, Bedouin), the tribe and the clan. Christian Arabs have an even greater challenge when coming to terms with their identity, for they are treated variably as outsiders and insiders in their societies.  

Arabs may often express their national sentiment quite strongly, even lay down their lives for it, but their understanding of that nationalism varies. To what extent are all Arabs one nation and what does this mean for the states that divide them? What does it mean for the tribal tensions and sectarian clashes? It seems quite clear that while most Arabs may experience a sentimental attachment to Arabs elsewhere, and may sympathise with their plight, they are unlikely to be moved to assist them. Increasingly in the 21st Century, the Arab states have been distancing themselves from each other and shirking responsibility and involvement in each other’s struggles. They seek to influence the politics of their neighbours, but they no longer strive for unity. 

This reality is an especially harsh blow to the Palestinians, whose sense of hope and strength historically lay in their being a part of the much larger Arab nation. Indeed, their very existence as a stateless people is a direct result of the refusal of the Arab states to incorporate their ethnically and culturally indistinguishable brethren into their own citizenry. The category of “Palestinian” was propped up in the aftermath of the 1948 war in order to justify the continued fight against the nascent State of Israel. The Arab League attempted to preserve the collective rights of the Palestinian people, as a component of the Arab nation, by differentiating Palestinians and denying them rights in the countries to which they fled. Thus, when Arabs discuss the rights of Palestinians, it is never as individuals, but rather as an abstract collective that has inherited a sacred right to the territory of the Palestine Mandate. This insistence on the existence of a Palestinian nation is what some call “Palestinism”, an ideology comparable in some respects to nation-building movements like Zionism or Kemalism. 

In the meantime, Iraq, Syria, Egypt and Saudi Arabia have all abandoned the Palestinians, caught up in their own concerns. The Arab League, while never particularly effective at advancing Palestinian interests on the ground, has even softened its tone against Israel, without outright abandoning its symbolic support of the Palestinian cause. This increases the need for the Palestinians to conceive of themselves as a nation of their own, with Pan-Arabism having failed them. Interestingly enough, this need for a newly defined or reasserted national identity appears to have affected Arabs both in Israel proper and the territories alike. 

In my view, the main reason Israelis have difficulty conceiving of the Palestinians as a nation (and the consequent scepticism regarding their claims to statehood), is that the concept of nationhood in Israel is primarily based on the notion of ethno-cultural characteristics. In this sense, regardless of whether you call Arabs in Israel “Israeli Arabs” or “Arab Israelis”, the designation of “Israeli” stands for their citizenship and membership in the social landscape of the state. Their “nationality” is Arab, however: while one’s nationality may be Jewish or Arab, one’s citizenship may be Israeli, American or Jordanian, etc. Thus, the Arab world as whole (with the possible exception of Egypt), and at the very least the entirety of the Levantine Arab population, is seen as a single indivisible ethnic and cultural unit at the level of a nation. While Jordan, Lebanon and Syria are states, ostensibly based on the European nation-state model, they are not truly “nations” under this conception of nationhood.  

For this reason, there is little legitimacy for a Palestinian state per se, insofar as it represents the Palestinians as a nation of their own. One’s designation as a “Palestinian”, rather than a “Lebanese” or a “Syrian”, is indeed but the result of an accident of having lived on one side of an arbitrary border, drawn by outsiders (with some Zionist influence), at a specific and fairly arbitrary point in time. While not inconsequential, the residence of any non-Jew in Mandatory Palestine during the two years preceding Israeli independence (this being the official PA definition of a Palestinian), is not only a shallow and discriminatory category to define one’s nationality, but also entirely out of touch with modern-day reality and the developments of history both before and since this brief period.  

There are no ethnic, cultural, religious or linguistic traits that can be said to apply to the Palestinians as a whole while being distinguished from those of neighbouring states. Having said that, Palestinism as an identity (even if not strictly speaking distinct in ethnic terms) has developed and strengthened in recent years. Perhaps the very belief that one is part of a nation makes it so, and Palestinian nationalism, while only having emerged in response to the advent of Zionism, could thus be considered a legitimate identity, even if as yet unconstructive.  

Even so, the insistence of some activists and scholars to refer to Arab Israelis as Palestinian citizens of Israel is seen not only as a deliberate attempt to distance them from the state and imply rejection of its narrative and identity, and perhaps even delegitimise it, from the typical Jewish Israeli perspective it is also perceived as inauthentic, if not dishonest. If the nationality is Arab, then they should by all rights and logic be considered Israeli Arab, while their ties to Palestinian Arabs should be seen as little more significant than their ties to Jordanians, Lebanese or Syrians, especially given the fact that most have both present-day relatives and historic ancestors in those countries. Indeed, historically they were merely Arabs, and if Arabs can be Jordanian, why not also Israeli? 

However, given the Zionist mission of the State of Israel to serve as a homeland for a specific nation, the Jews, there naturally arises a conflict of identity for those who are not members of that nation, but who reside in it and are part of its political, social and economic fabric. How can one be truly “Israeli” when the very purpose of the state is so intrinsically tied to an identity of which you are not part? From the Jewish Israeli perspective, there is no contradiction here, at least in theory, given that “Israeli” is the civic, legal status and not a national identity in and of itself. Likewise, being both Israeli and Palestinian would be impossible, unless there were a fully-fledged State of Palestine, in which case an Israeli-Palestinian would refer to someone with dual citizenship (and could theoretically be either Jewish or Arab). Thus, “Palestinian” is also not a national, but rather a geographical and political distinction.  

While being essential to Israeli identity and political culture, this understanding of nationhood is hardly unique to the Jewish state. Let’s put this into a global context. One could use Italy as an example, where a German-speaking minority in the north associates itself with Austria, ethnically, but has accepted Italian citizenship stripped of an Italian national identity. Turkey, Greece, Hungary, Poland and even ultra-Western, liberal countries such as Germany, the Netherlands and Denmark have this traditional, Old World brand of nationalism, however diluted, which ultimately defines a nation as an ethnicity with a common language and religion (though this is only unofficially understood in countries such as Germany). These countries are all home to minorities, whether foreign or indigenous, which do not identify with the dominant national narrative, although they mostly accept it.  

In Turkey, however, the situation is particularly complicated. Strictly speaking, according to the Kemalist vision, anyone can be a Turk, regardless of ethnic origin or even religion. The core of Turkish nationalism is the Turkish language, accompanied by a sense of solidarity with the Turkish people. However, in reality, while most Turks can trace their Greek, Armenian or Kurdish heritage, having successfully adopted a Turkish cultural identity and integrated into the national fold, it is understood that a “true” Turk is a Sunni Muslim, and the “purest” Turks are those whose ancestors were the tribes who reached Anatolia from Central Asia. Thus, Kurds can certainly become Turks in terms of nationality if they speak Turkish, especially if they are Sunni and forego their Kurdish identity. They may be viewed a little differently by some of the legacy Turks but certainly within a generation or two they become indistinguishable.  

On the other hand, Turkey does not allow for any national consciousness other than “Turk” to flourish within its borders. Kurdish identity, even if merely ethnic and without demands for an independent state, is thus seen as a threat that weakens Turkey as a country. The Kurdish language alone is problematic, and there is no recognition of a national minority living in Turkey.  

Israeli Arabs, while they can never (or with great difficulty) become Israeli Jews, can and do share in the benefits of the state, even if they were originally built by and for someone else. They also receive recognition as a minority and are accordingly allowed a high degree of autonomy to conduct their own affairs at the municipal and religious levels. Indeed, they are encouraged to preserve and develop their unique culture and are provided with an education in their own language, albeit with some state involvement over political narratives. Other services are also catered specifically to the Arab sector.  

This separation is not without its problems, providing a barrier to full social and cultural integration, but it allows the various communities in the country the freedom, recognition and dignity to live more or less as they wish. Moreover, it is highly liberal in that it does not impose a cultural identity over different peoples, and does not attempt to forcibly bring them into a national mould as do France and Turkey. Likewise, the melting pot effect of multi-ethnic countries such as Australia and the United States is limited, given the Old-World context of Israeli society.  

While Arabs certainly contribute to the cultural landscape of Israel, they are somewhat prevented from (and partly resist) dissolving their particularistic identities in the Israeli melting pot in the same way that Jewish immigrants have. At the end of the day, this model is based on acceptance of both group solidarity and individual freedom to associate (while the American model is far more individualistic and theoretically resists the notion of collective identities equivalent to national groupings).  

In my view, the success of societies in the Old-World context will ultimately depend on the ability to maintain social harmony while recognising the importance of national identity. This requires a fine balancing act between individualism and collectivism, between the rights of citizens and the will of the nation. It means recognising that people are different and allowing them to express those differences, encouraging them to identify as much as possible with the state if not with the nation. 

Making Sense of Jewishness in America

Minority identity remains relevant even in the most individualistic of societies, and Jews should embrace their collective nature. 

America is the archetypical melting pot society, a bastion of individualism and a nation based on the absence of nationality. So how can Jews, who have conceived of themselves as a nation even within the Diaspora, come to terms with being both fully American and fully Jewish? It was easier to distinguish oneself from the surrounding society when persecution and discrimination were the rule, but it is much harder to maintain the strength of one’s identity when it is competing with equally seductive notions of belonging. 

American societal divisions are categorized as sub-national, involving race and religion rather than “nationality” or even culture. For Americans, you cannot be both American and of another nationality. All Americans form a single nation, so minorities are merely ethnic groupings with no political recognition or collective rights. Even native Americans and African Americans, which are perhaps the most distinct of racial-cultural minorities within the United States, and are granted special provisions on the premise of reparations or affirmative action, are not seen as separable from a ubiquitous American national identity, even if that identity is clearly tied to a core white-Protestant culture.  

Likewise, Jews cannot be understood in America as a “nation” as such, but are generally counted either as an ethnic (read racial) group or a religious community. As a religious community, collective rights and recognition are based not on a foundation of immutable heritage but on a philosophically individualist understanding of human rights that allow for individuals to associate as a community. Read this way, Jewishness is nothing more than a person’s choice, and it is tied to Judaism alone, as a belief, rather than an ethnic heritage.  

The proliferation of non-Orthodox Jewish movements in America is perhaps a testament to the individualism of religion in America. External authority is rejected in favour of personal choice, and a belief that one can “mix and match” when it comes to practices and values. In reality, of course, our biologically collective minds do little of that mixing and matching ourselves, and we tend to see entire communities espousing the exact same set of values in their entirety. 

However, some American Jews are non-religious, though they still place importance on their Jewish identity. They seem themselves as being culturally or ethnically Jewish, closer perhaps to the secular Zionist understanding of the Jewish people. But in America, even understood as an ethnicity, Jewishness is not always equivalent to a nationality. While Irish Americans and Italian Americans have clear, unquestioned ties to nation-states, most Jewish Americans arrived before they had a nation-state of their own, with some even objecting to its foundation and continued existence. In this sense, Jews in America can be understood as African Americans: first they are Americans, and they happen to have a particular ancestry. As a community, they are still but part of American society and not an extension of a nation. For many American Jews, this understanding of nationhood is entirely comfortable. They do not deny having a connection to the Jews of Israel, but they are not active participants in the Zionist enterprise, even if they support its narrative. Their lives are in America and they are culturally American. Their loyalty is first and foremost to the United States and their language is English. They mostly have few qualms about marrying outside of the community into which they were born and often sense they are closer to their non-Jewish fellow citizens than they are to their relatives on the other side of the world.  

Indeed, many American Jews appear at times to forget that they are a minority, behaving as members of the majority culture. American national identity and political ideology allows for this because Americanness is based on the principles stipulated in the Constitution. This legal blueprint is the glue that binds together all Americans and which suggests that regardless of one’s spiritual beliefs, family traditions, ancestry or even language, they are all equally American.  

In reality, however, majority identity matters, and majority identity in America is overwhelming Christian and predominantly white. And while Jews are generally lumped together with the rest of “White America”, in the minds of many they are a separate group. Culturally, too, they are often indistinguishable from Catholics, Protestants, Muslims or Atheists living in large cities like New York and Los Angeles, but they dominate a particular brand of liberal American culture. Their success in Hollywood, the arts, academia and various industries obscures (to them) their difference from the majority of other Americans, and there is a danger to this success, especially when coupled with political activism that becomes disproportionately associated with Jews.  

While this is by no means the work of all Jews, nor is it part of a ubiquitous Jewish agenda, there is currently an attempt by many influential Jews, mostly as individuals but also through organizations, to influence larger American society and sway politics. Whether these influences are for good or bad, they present a risk factor to Jewish communities in America long-term, who could be seen as attempting to “control” the nation and subvert it. While the conspiracy theory of the Jewish plot to “replace” White Americans with Blacks and Hispanics is manifest nonsense, the undeniable overrepresentation of Jews in the media, in progressive circles and in politics plays well into the hands of anti-Semites who seek to incite the disgruntled masses.  

While both morally and legally, Jewish Americans have every right to participate in the cultural and political discourse as any other American, it would be prudent to remember that they are indeed a minority and are therefore vulnerable. An attempt to change the character of a country, if coming from a minority, will never be welcomed by the majority, even in a country as tolerant as the United States. The limits of political liberalism and the concept of human and civil rights should be respected, if only out of fear.  

For many Jews, whose culture is undeniably dominated by intellectualism and a drive for economic success and leadership, it is almost unthinkable to accept that their passionate engagement in the American discourse is anything but patriotic. However, the Liberal Jewish conception of Tikkun Olam, rebranded as it has been for the American palette, displays a lack of humility. It is an essentially noble desire to improve the world, but it assumes that we are the ones to do it.  

In my opinion, it does not matter how positive the potential outcome or how genuine the will to do good, one cannot go against the grain of a much larger current. President Trump, despised as he is, can afford to make bold moves without endangering the legitimacy of all Whites in America (though this too is being tested with the increasing double-standards meted out against White Christian males in particular, with Jews at times being despised for their relatively newfound whiteness).  

If, say, a radically different President such as Bernie Sanders were to come to power, both his failures and unpopular successes would likely come to be associated with Jews as a whole and opposition would be expressed not merely against Sanders as an individual or his administration as a team. His Jewishness would undoubtedly become a huge liability to the entire Jewish community. 

Take for example the stance of such a President towards Israel. A Jewish President would invariably be pressured to distance himself from the country, perhaps even treat it with contempt, in order to prove his exclusive loyalty to the US. He may do it anyway, if it fits in with a non-interventionist or progressivist worldview that clashes with Israeli policies and interests, or in a diplomatic attempt to appease pseudo-humanitarian European or patently anti-Zionist Middle Eastern allies.  

If, however, such a President had warm relations with Israel, it could be just as problematic. While some Christians and Jews would no doubt cheer any American gesture or action in Israel’s interest, the perceived closeness of a Jewish President to the Jewish state could quickly be dismissed as a natural bias or even attract claims of dual loyalty. This does not mean that there should never be a Jewish President, but it does mean that politically active and highly visible Jews need to be extra-careful, as unfair as this is.  

Likewise, the incredibly shrill and unavoidable tirades against Trump may backfire against liberal and progressive Jews who often lead the charge. This criticism, even if justified, often devolves into outright demonisation, and while it is by no means Jews alone nor all Jews who participate in this, there is a disproportionate association of Jews with the anti-Trump cabal. In a future America where the Democratic Party has largely abandoned Jews for Muslims and antisemitic populations, and which disparages the principles of national sovereignty and independence upon which countries like Israel are based, the Republicans may prove to be a better sponsor, even if imperfect. While some Trump supporters may be racists or antisemites, the majority are clearly comfortable with the closeness of the current President to Israel and appear to have no issue with American Jews. Attacking their choices and delegitimising them as idiots and bigots will only alienate them from American Jews, if not from Israel.  

My advice to American and other Western Jews at this time would be to recognise that despite their constitutional rights as equal members of American society, they do form a cultural and ethnic minority, and that the very existence of a minority inevitably invites scrutiny and suspicion. This means that it is not in the interest for a minority (and could even be dangerous for individuals who are part of that minority) to be overly enthusiastic about pushing for political change. We cannot change the culture of those around us, and we mustn’t behave as though we know better than they do, or have the right to dominate.  

Unfortunately, I expect that antisemitism in America will only grow in the coming years, as it has in Europe. We must retain our humility, our caution and our sense of solidarity if we are to better protect ourselves against it. 

After Abbas – What Awaits Us Just Around the Corner?

The Palestinian President may not last much longer, but what comes next is shrouded in uncertainty. 

Every so often, speculations arise regarding the health of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, and PA officials quickly jump to assure the world that he’s in excellent health. While few Palestinians appear to have much love or respect for Abbas, he has managed to keep the Palestinian Authority intact, at least within the West Bank, and prevented the rise of Hamas outside of Gaza. For the Palestinian elite, and for the Israeli security apparatus, the uncertainty of the post-Abbas era is terrifying. 

Abbas’ death could spell the end of the relative calm that both Israelis and Palestinians have enjoyed since the end of the Al Aqsa Intifada. The instability of Palestinian society is likely to spark a renewed civil war between Fatah and Hamas. There could even be a split within Fatah and the PLO, with rival factions rallying around opposing figures. This is because there is no clear successor to Abbas.  

The reason for this is Abbas’ own conduct towards anyone who managed to gain some popularity. In the past, Abbas’ main rival was identified as Mahmoud Dahlan, who was particularly popular among refugees. Today, however, Dahlan has faded from the scene, having been solidly defeated by Abbas and exiled to the United Arab Emirates. In any case, he was based in Gaza, and when Fatah lost its hold on the Strip, Dahlan lost any hopes of rising in the ranks of the PLO, with rivals accusing him of being an Israeli agent. In any case, West Bank society is unlikely to embrace a Gazan as its leader, with clear preference given to Nabulsis. In ordinary circumstances, even when travel between the two sections of the Palestinian Territories was possible, it was nearly impossible for a Gazan to rent an apartment in Ramallah or Bethlehem, and marriages between towns are few and far between. 

Perhaps the most obvious choice today would be Mohammad Shtayyeh, the current Prime Minister of the PA. However, Shtayyeh was selected by Abbas precisely because of his weakness, and his role in government is mostly ceremonial. It is possible, however, that the government would settle on someone like Shtayyeh as a necessary compromise, in the hopes that it would prevent the collapse of the PA. 

The most popular figure today in the Palestinian imagination appears to be Omar Barghouti, who is unlikely to be released from Israeli prison. Then there is Saeb Erekat, whose popularity derives from his role as international spokesperson for the Palestinian cause. However, Erekat is effectively the tribal leader of Jericho, the smallest and most remote Palestinian city, and it is unlikely that the Nablus and Ramallah-based PLO establishment would allow him to take the place of Abbas. 

There is no guarantee that elections will be held after Abbas’ passing. In any case, it is unlikely that any faction would willingly relinquish power as a result. It is also impossible to know what such an election would look like. Would Hamas be allowed to participate? Would Gaza be incorporated into the general election? What would voter turnout look like? How would votes be counted? 

Until now, Mahmoud Abbas has avoided holding elections, which have been overdue for a decade. His excuses include the de facto split of Gaza under Hamas from the rest of the Palestinian Authority and, more recently, the supposed Israeli refusal to allow Jerusalem’s Arab population to vote in the Palestinian elections. While Israel certainly has an interest in preventing an election that will likely end Abbas’ grip on the PA, and does not seek to further expose the PLO’s lack of legitimacy, it is the Palestinian leadership itself that has the most to lose from an election. It is more likely that Abbas has worked in concert with Israeli authorities to conjure up the Jerusalem election ban as a pretext to postpone elections. 

With Abbas gone, however, it will be difficult to justify postponing an election any further. The danger here is the fiction maintained by the international community that the Palestinians can and should be democratic. The only country in the Arab world, to date, which has managed to achieve a semblance of democracy, is Tunisia, and even this is new and fragile. Any other attempt has been short-lived, either undone by military coup or devolving into civil war. While many in both the Arab World and the West believed that the so-called Arab Spring (more appropriately the “Arab Fall”) signalled the beginnings of a democratic movement. A basic understanding of modern Arab culture, especially in the Levant, would reveal that democracy in the Western sense is not something widely understood or desired.  

Of course, people tend to want a say in governmental policy and they are generally fed up with the authoritarian regimes and corruption that have plagued the Arab World for decades. However, even if the majority of the population favour it, democracy in the form of peaceful political transitions, popular legitimacy and governmental transparency seems further away than ever. 

When analysing the democracy deficit of the Arab World, one cannot ignore the divisions that run deep within many Arab societies. While the Palestinians are spared the struggle between Sunni and Shi’a, the tribalism that has plagued Syria, Iraq and Libya exists here too. The unity of the Palestinian people lies in little more than opposition to Israel and Zionism. The struggle between theocrats and secularists will likely continue well into the future, intensifying within the context of a power vacuum. 

Given that Abbas will leave behind him a profound vacuum of power, a civil war seems highly likely. The extent of that civil war is unknown, as is the outcome. External factors, such as Israeli intervention, Arab sponsorship and international directives may impact the course of the war. As for local support, the largest faction appears to be Hamas, with about 30% Palestinian support. However, while approval of Fatah is minimal, for many West Bank Palestinians the prospect of a Hamas takeover is even worse.  

Then there’s the possibility of a major split within Fatah, or of the rise of new political factions emerging. These factions will likely represent constituents from particular towns or villages. Perhaps some will be able to cooperate, others will clash. We could even see the complete collapse of the Palestinian Authority, with individual regions acting autonomously, perhaps coming to interim agreements with Israel. 

The violence would also likely spill over into Israeli settlements and territory, with more activist factions using terrorism to draw attention and support from the Palestinian public. Violence could also come in response to an Israeli military intervention, which could backfire by undermining the legitimacy of whichever faction was supported. It is not clear exactly how Israel should prepare for the day after Abbas, but the government and security establishment should consider various possibilities, and brace themselves for a fast-deteriorating crisis. 

What is certain, there will not be a leader able to reunite the West Bank and Gaza, or who enjoys enough popular legitimacy to sign a sustainable peace agreement with Israel. As discussed in a paper published in the CMI Brief, “Palestinians are in need of a united, legitimate political leadership if a revived peace process is to have any chance of success.” 

Perhaps things will emerge brighter for the Palestinians after the coming dark period of uncertainty, but it will likely get much worse before it gets better. As frustrating as a weak, uncharismatic and uninspiring president may be, we might come to lament the loss of our present-day stability. And it will likely be sooner than we expect. 

The Force for Divorce

The belief that we can unilaterally separate from the Palestinians while maintaining a security presence is a dangerous delusion. 

Towards the end of 2018, a campaign was launched promoting the need to “divorce” from the Palestinians. It was spearheaded by Commanders for Israel’s Security, former members of the Israeli security establishment, with backing from predominantly left-wing MKs. Billboards and newspapers around the country spread the message: “For Israel’s security, it’s time to divorce the Palestinians”. 

In Hebrew, the word for divorce is Girushin, which incidentally sounds a lot like the word for expulsion, Gerush. This connection makes sense, given that divorce requires a physical separation – traditionally, a husband would banish his wife and she would no longer have a place in his house. The message of the campaign, however, seems to be that we should banish ourselves. 

While the desire to separate from the Palestinians is understandable, implementing this unilaterally is unfeasible. For better or worse, the fates of our two peoples are tied, and we cannot separate them without creating a physical separation. Physical separation in this context amounts to ethnic cleansing, and since we cannot fathom being responsible for such a crime, the ethnic cleansing being promoted is self-inflicted.  

A message imploring Prime Minister Netanyahu to “divorce” from the Palestinians, published in Yediyot Ahronot on December 6, 2018

It may seem noble for us to sacrifice our own position for the sake of peace, or at least for the idea that we are promoting peace down the road. The trouble with this is that we will be weakening our own position and sending a signal to our enemies that we do not believe in our own claims to the land. It will mean rewarding intransigence and pushing the prospect of a true peace, which can only come about with mutual agreement, further away.  

Such a proposal is also unprecedented historically – no society has ever voluntarily dismantled settlements and evacuated its own citizens without losing a war on the ground. Israel is the only country ever to offer a solution that involves uprooting its own people from a position of strength. Doing so sends a clear message that we do not believe we are in a position of strength, nor are we confident in the righteousness of our claims. 

Where then, does this proposal come from? 

The politics of separation from the Palestinians is one that has always existed within the Zionist movement, especially in the left-wing establishment. This comes from the understanding that for Zionism to be successful, as with any national movement, the territory under the government’s control must have a clear Jewish majority. You cannot have Jewish sovereignty without a Jewish majority, especially in the context of a democratic nation-state that grants equal citizenship rights to all. 

After the War of Independence and up until the Six Day War, an acceptable separation had been achieved for the State of Israel. There was no longer any need to discuss further separation. However, this separation was not sustainable, as evidenced by the breakout of war 1967. Historical revisionism suggests that the partition established in 1949 was workable, though neither the Arab league nor the Israeli security establishment ever accepted it as so. The political establishment was content with it, but in the absence of a true peace with all neighbouring states, it was understood that borders must be shifted to more defensible lines.  

In any case, the “Green” armistice line was never recognised as an official, let alone final, border – this at the insistence of the Arab League. Therefore, using the Green Line as the main reference for implementing separation makes no sense in terms of facts on the ground or even legal considerations. The Green Line has been mostly maintained as a legal barrier between Israeli and Palestinian Arabs, but it was never understood by either side as a true political barrier between countries.  

More recently, Israeli unilateralism and the policy of disengagement were exemplified by the Kadima party of Ariel Sharon, who broke from the right-wing Likud in order to advance the disengagement from the Gaza Strip (and parts of the northern West Bank), evacuating some 8,000 citizens. This was a painful move but largely accepted by the Israeli public. It also opened up the potential for annexing parts of the West Bank, and contributed to anxiety amongst right-wingers and settlers that further disengagement may occur.  

Sharon achieved his goal of limiting the need to maintain foot soldiers within Gaza and, in his words, to reduce the burden of responsibility for governing a large non-citizen Arab population (by now numbering about 2 million). Gaza was taken out of the equation for any future settlement and a de facto independent Palestinian entity was established there. Following the Oslo Accords, Gaza had been administered by the Palestinian Authority, with the exception of the Jewish settlement block of Gush Katif and some patches of strategic territory.  

After the disengagement, a low-level civil war between Hamas and the Fatah-dominated Palestinian Authority resulted in the expulsion of the legitimate government from the Strip, and an entity whose government cared more about attacking its neighbour than it did about caring for its citizens.  

Of course, hardly anyone in the security establishment is advocating pulling the military out of the remaining territories under Israeli control, but the proposal for “civil separation” mirrors this policy of disengagement, uprooting communities and reserving hitherto disputed areas for a future Palestinian state, without requiring any gesture on the part of the Palestinian leadership. 

Following the Gaza disengagement, figures such as Ehud Barak of Labour and Shaul Mofaz of Kadima began advocating for civilian, but not military, disengagement from large areas of the West Bank. Driven by impatience to resolve the conflict while understanding that a partner for negotiations cannot be found in the Palestinian leadership, think tanks like the Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS) argued that Israel could still move forward with implementing a sort of two-state reality. Unilateral disengagement from Gaza may have had its advantages and disadvantages, but no one can seriously argue that it brought us any closer to peace. 

This unilateralism is far more problematic for the highlands of Judea and Samaria, with a large Jewish population and far more strategic importance than the Gaza Strip. This policy would, in my opinion, represent self-delusion, pretending that we are somehow changing the situation to enable peace while maintaining our military presence in the area, which is the main stated grievance of the moderate Palestinian leadership. All we would achieve is disenfranchising our own citizens. 

At the other end of the Israeli political spectrum is the rush to annexation of parts of the West Bank (perhaps more properly referred to as the bulk of Judea and Samaria). This proposal has its own issues, especially in the absence of an agreed permanent settlement. The concern is that this annexation would cement an Israeli presence encircling Palestinians areas of settlement, creating what some would call an “apartheid” situation, which would supposedly prevent the establishment of an independent Palestinian state, at a time when the Palestinians decide they are ready for it. The Israeli left and centre fear that this would erode Israeli legitimacy internationally and create pressure for granting citizenship to the roughly 3 million Palestinians of the area, undermining the clear Jewish majority and ending the Zionist vision. Presumably, the move to create a clear separation from Israel and the Palestinians would be to prevent such a scenario, ensuring that Israel remains smaller but with a clear Jewish majority. 

However, while proponents of “divorce” claim that the separation would not replace a comprehensive peace agreement, and that military occupation for security purposes will continue, it seeks to rush to a conclusion of the conflict at least in terms of territorial and demographic parameters. This would establish permanent international borders and supposedly resolve the settlement issue. However, no one is seriously considering pulling out of the settlement blocks (with the exception, in some cases, of Ariel, which is further from the Green Line). Therefore, a separation policy would actually require unilateral annexation, albeit of modest proportions.  

This move is not likely to gain the desired approval of the international community or the Palestinians. It also wouldn’t resolve the issue of eastern Jerusalem and the Holy Basin, or of the permanent status of areas deemed necessary for Israeli security, even in the context of a reliable peace agreement with the Palestinians. Pulling the civilian presence out of the Jordan valley, which is currently majority Jewish outside of Jericho, and is generally considered indispensable even to members of the so-called peace camp, would simply mean handing it over to any future Palestinian state, abandoning the opportunity for negotiation on the matter. While isolated mountain-top army bases would likely be retained as enclaves within a Palestinian state (according to the most generous visions), their continued presence is unrelated to civilian infrastructure. However, the territory in which they sit, while strategic, is not generally claimed for the purposes of sovereignty.     

The trouble with pulling out of civilian settlements, including the problematic outposts, which were considered likely to be evacuated in any peace agreement up until the Trump initiative, is that we will be placing all our chips while our opponent hasn’t even sat at the table. We’ll be relinquishing our own right to the territory, declaring moral defeat in the eyes of the Arab world, while retaining a military presence that will justify the continued complaints of “occupation”.  We will be lending credence to the narrative that we are non-indigenous occupiers of a land to which we have no claim – that we are colonists. We will be nurturing hopes among the Palestinians and their Arab backers that we may give up even further concessions. We will not be promoting peace, and we will not be limiting the friction between Jewish and Palestinian communities. We will be further encouraging the descent of the Palestinian Authority into anarchy, deepening the emerging societal rift among Jews and creating a dangerous precedent for ignoring the rights of our own citizens in favour of an abstract fantasy.  

Separation cannot occur without ethnic cleansing, however you choose to call it. Ethnic cleansing cannot be considered a moral stance, even if we are only doing it to ourselves.